ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $1,137 | Benefits minus costs | $2,206 | |||
Participants | ($831) | Benefit to cost ratio | $2.25 | |||
Others | $3,832 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | ($165) | benefits greater than the costs | 58 % | |||
Total benefits | $3,973 | |||||
Net program cost | ($1,767) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $2,206 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Alcohol use before end of high school Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
15 | 1 | 56 | 0.134 | 0.229 | 15 | 0.134 | 0.229 | 18 | 0.258 | 0.261 | |
STD risky behavior^ For youth, this outcome includes unprotected sex and other behaviors. For high-risk drug users, this also includes intravenous drug use. |
15 | 1 | 20 | -1.042 | 0.337 | 15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -2.369 | 0.001 | |
Smoking before end of high school^^ Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
15 | 1 | 20 | -0.529 | 0.322 | 15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.203 | 0.001 | |
Cannabis use before end of high school Any use of cannabis by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
15 | 1 | 56 | -0.123 | 0.229 | 15 | -0.123 | 0.229 | 18 | -0.237 | 0.301 | |
Disruptive behavior disorder symptoms Clinical diagnosis of a disruptive behavior disorder (e.g., conduct disorder, oppositional defiant disorder) or symptoms measured on a validated scale. |
15 | 2 | 93 | -0.112 | 0.175 | 15 | -0.062 | 0.108 | 18 | -0.374 | 0.160 | |
Illicit drug use before end of high school Any use of illicit drugs by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 to 18. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
15 | 2 | 169 | -0.339 | 0.369 | 15 | -0.339 | 0.369 | 18 | -0.864 | 0.310 | |
Problem alcohol use^^ Alcohol use reflecting problem behaviors (e.g., high frequency drinking, binge drinking, or drinking that has a high impact on daily life) for individuals who do not have an alcohol use disorder. |
15 | 1 | 20 | -0.829 | 0.330 | 15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.884 | 0.001 | |
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
15 | 1 | 140 | -0.174 | 0.124 | 20 | -0.174 | 0.124 | 30 | -0.335 | 0.007 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Crime | Criminal justice system | $1,120 | $0 | $2,788 | $560 | $4,467 |
Labor market earnings associated with high school graduation | $535 | $1,256 | $688 | $0 | $2,479 | |
Costs of higher education | ($89) | ($134) | ($40) | ($44) | ($307) | |
Disruptive behavior disorder symptoms | K-12 grade repetition | $12 | $0 | $0 | $6 | $18 |
K-12 special education | $46 | $0 | $0 | $23 | $69 | |
Health care associated with disruptive behavior disorder | $390 | $110 | $402 | $195 | $1,097 | |
Alcohol use before end of high school | Labor market earnings associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | ($876) | ($2,057) | $0 | $0 | ($2,933) |
Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | ($3) | ($6) | $0 | ($10) | |
Mortality associated with alcohol | ($1) | ($3) | $0 | ($20) | ($24) | |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($883) | ($883) |
Totals | $1,137 | ($831) | $3,832 | ($165) | $3,973 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $2,595 | 2015 | Present value of net program costs (in 2018 dollars) | ($1,767) |
Comparison costs | $868 | 2010 | Cost range (+ or -) | 20 % |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
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